Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for WUTIP-19 in Guam from 19 Feb 2019 06:00 UTC to 22 Feb 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for WUTIP-19

in Guam

22 Feb 2019 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone WUTIP-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Guam
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	Medium (Guam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	194 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	259 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Feb 2019 06:00	167	50 thousand	2 thousand
2	19 Feb 2019 12:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
3	19 Feb 2019 18:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
4	20 Feb 2019 00:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
5	20 Feb 2019 06:00	194	200 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
6	20 Feb 2019 12:00	204	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
7	20 Feb 2019 18:00	194	220 thousand	Few people	Guam
8	21 Feb 2019 00:00	194	210 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
9	21 Feb 2019 06:00	194	210 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
10	21 Feb 2019 12:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
11	21 Feb 2019 18:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam
12	22 Feb 2019 00:00	194	220 thousand	2 thousand	Guam

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	19 Feb 2019 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	3700 people	4.4, 158.3
2	19 Feb 2019 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	3900 people	4.4, 157
3	19 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	4800 people	4.5, 155.7
4	20 Feb 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	50000 people	4.6, 154.7
5	20 Feb 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	50000 people	4.8, 153.6
6	20 Feb 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	53000 people	5.3, 152.5
7	20 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	111	<1000 people	50000 people	5.6, 151.1
8	21 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 1	120	1700 people	50000 people	6.2, 150.5
9	21 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 1	139	2000 people	12000 people	6.9, 149.3
10	21 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 2	157	<1000 people	3600 people	7.1, 148.7
11	21 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 2	167	<1000 people	3800 people	7.6, 148.1
12	22 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 2	176	<1000 people	3800 people	8.2, 147.1
12	22 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	120000 people	9.5, 145.4	Guam
12	23 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	160000 people	10.9, 143.7	Guam
12	23 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	160000 people	11.7, 143	Guam
12	24 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	150000 people	12.7, 142.3	Guam
12	25 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	14.2, 141.6
12	26 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15.6, 141.4
12	27 Feb 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.9, 141.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 22 Feb 2019 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.